23 Nov 2023 12:30-13:30
Research Seminar - Prof. Edoardo Grillo, University of Padova, discusses the dynamics involved in war and conflict with special attention on the effects of interventions of third parties.
Event type Hybrid Event
Room BZ E3.12 | Universitätsplatz 1 - piazza Università, 1
Departments ECO Faculty
Countries involved in conflicts learn about their military strength from the battlefield. We study how a third party intervenes to manipulate this learning. An attacker and a defender engage in a conflict whose outcome conveys information about the attacker's strength. A third party fears the attacker’s aggressiveness and can intervene to help the defender. This intervention is risky: if the attacker wins despite the help the defender receives, its aggressiveness increases even further. We show that optimal third-party intervention is non-monotonic in the attacker’s strength. We also show that patriotism is a defensive strategy for the defender because boosting the resolve to fight forces third-party intervention.
For online partecipation, please register at the link below.